Liberia vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LBR
5 - 0
DJI
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 0
LBR
92%
6%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |