Liberia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TOG
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 0
LBR
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBR
1 - 0
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
4 - 1
LBR
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GHA
3 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |