CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-1
Liberia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBR
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LBR
3 - 1
SLE
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SEN
3 - 0
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
SEN
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SDN
0 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SDN
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
TAN
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |