Liberia vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
19.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CMR
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LBR
3 - 2
RWA
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 1
LBR
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 5
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
TOG
3 - 0
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CMR
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
TOG
2 - 2
CMR
20%
27%
53%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CMR
3 - 0
EQG
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
RWA
0 - 3
CMR
10%
21%
70%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |