Liberia vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LBR
3 - 1
CTA
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
12%
23%
65%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 0
LBR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
LBR
1 - 2
CPV
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBR
83%
13%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
BEN
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
MAD
54%
23%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
TAN
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TAN
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |