Liberia vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
ANG
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LBR
3 - 2
GAM
29%
25%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LBR
1 - 0
CPV
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CPV
4 - 2
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MLI
2 - 1
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 3
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SLE
1 - 0
NIG
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
NIG
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 1
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +2 |