Liberia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBR
3 - 0
GAM
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 0
LBR
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 2
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 0
ETH
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 4
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 1
GUI
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |