Liberia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
LBR
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 2
LBR
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 0
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
SYC
82%
14%
4%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |