Liberia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LBR
0 - 1
MWI
30%
28%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
LBR
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EQG
0 - 0
BFA
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
EQG
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
TUN
16%
27%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
EQG
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |