Liberia vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RWA
4 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
0 - 0
EQG
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
1 - 2
CMR
5%
17%
78%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CMR
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LBR
3 - 2
RWA
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
SLE
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
CPV
0 - 0
GAM
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALG
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
CPV
0 - 0
GAM
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |