Lebanon vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
PLE
0 - 0
LBN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 5
AUS
9%
20%
71%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 1
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAK
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
JOR
3 - 0
TJK
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 1
KSA
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 0
TJK
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
JOR
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |