Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UAE
3 - 2
LBN
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 1
LBN
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
QAT
5 - 0
LBN
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
THA
2 - 5
LBN
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
LBN
3 - 1
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
TJK
2 - 3
SYR
17%
20%
62%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 1
SYR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
IDN
0 - 2
SYR
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 3
SYR
14%
20%
67%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
JOR
2 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |