Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
THA
2 - 1
LBN
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
VIE
3 - 1
LBN
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
LBN
1 - 2
SGP
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UZB
3 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
KWT
2 - 3
SYR
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TKM
1 - 5
SYR
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
SYR
3 - 2
CHN
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 2
SYR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
KSA
1 - 1
SYR
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |