Lebanon vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 2
OMA
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
SDN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LBN
0 - 2
ALG
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
VAN
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IDN
6 - 0
VAN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
0 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
VAN
2 - 0
TAH
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |