Lebanon vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 1
KWT
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 3
KWT
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MDV
2 - 5
LBN
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 2
LBN
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
6 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
VIE
1 - 2
KOR
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 4
IRN
49%
23%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
4 - 0
KWT
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
UAE
0 - 2
KOR
7%
15%
79%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 0
JOR
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |