Lebanon vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
15.9%
80.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
21.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
LBN
2 - 2
HKG
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1993 |
LBN
2 - 2
IND
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1993 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1989 |
UGA
2 - 0
LBN
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
BHR
0 - 0
KOR
14%
22%
63%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
KOR
2 - 2
IRQ
47%
30%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
KOR
1 - 1
IRQ
46%
30%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 0
KOR
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
CAN
0 - 2
KOR
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |