Lebanon vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 2
KWT
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 4
IRN
10%
19%
71%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KWT
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NPL
1 - 1
PAK
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
PAK
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 0
PAK
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
SGP
4 - 0
PAK
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 0
PAK
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |