Lebanon vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
LAO
0 - 2
LBN
15%
21%
63%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 1
KWT
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LBN
2 - 2
SYR
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UAE
3 - 2
LBN
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
JPN
4 - 0
IRQ
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
IRQ
1 - 0
COD
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
IRQ
2 - 1
COD
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
IRQ
2 - 3
UAE
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
2 - 0
IRQ
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |