Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 3
AUS
13%
25%
62%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KOR
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 1
UZB
19%
22%
60%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
QAT
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
OMA
1 - 1
LBN
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRN
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 2
IRN
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
QAT
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRN
21%
26%
53%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
IRN
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |