Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
76.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 2
JOR
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 1
PRK
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
BHR
4 - 3
LBN
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
PRK
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
1 - 3
IRN
15%
20%
64%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 2
IRN
12%
20%
68%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
IRN
4 - 1
JOR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |