Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 2
PER
16%
25%
58%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
LBN
0 - 1
PER
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
LBN
1 - 2
OMA
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
LBN
3 - 1
OMA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
LBN
3 - 1
KWT
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRN
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
AUT
5 - 1
IRN
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
IRN
2 - 1
GEO
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2000 |
IRN
3 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
IRN
0 - 0
EGY
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |