Lebanon vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
LBN
10%
20%
70%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
PLE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 1
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MNE
3 - 2
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
JOR
0 - 2
KSA
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
JOR
2 - 2
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRN
13%
24%
64%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
AZE
2 - 1
JOR
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |