Lebanon vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 1
KSA
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
LBN
10%
20%
70%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
PLE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
0 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 2
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 2
OMA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
THA
1 - 2
CHN
26%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |