WC Qual. Asia 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Lebanon vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UAE
6 - 2
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 1
OMA
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 6
KWT
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SYR
4 - 0
LBN
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
LBN
1 - 1
VIE
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BGD
3 - 0
PAK
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 3
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
MMR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PLE
2 - 0
BGD
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |