Lebanon vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
JOR
19%
24%
58%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
MMR
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
KOR
1 - 0
LBN
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UZB
2 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
BHR
2 - 0
LBN
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
AFG
2 - 1
SGP
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
JPN
5 - 0
AFG
95%
4%
1%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
AFG
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
5 - 0
LKA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 1
MDV
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |