Liakhvi Tskhinvali II vs Mark Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liakhvi Tskhinvali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
TSK
22%
22%
57%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
TSK
3 - 2
MET
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
IVE
3 - 0
TSK
30%
22%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TSK
0 - 3
STU
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
RVA
4 - 0
TSK
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
IVE
61%
19%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
MAR
55%
20%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
RVA
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
ADU
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |