Nykøbing FC vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
12º
12º
11
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 43 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 21 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
LFA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
AKA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
0 - 1
LFA
17%
18%
66%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
4 - 0
LFA
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 0
LFA
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 1
MID
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 1
FRE
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BBK
1 - 6
FRE
8%
14%
78%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |