Nykøbing FC vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
7º
5º
59
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 0
BRA
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 2
LFA
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LFA
2 - 1
BFR
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 1
AGF
14%
19%
68%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 1
FA2
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 4
ESB
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
7 - 0
HEL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 3
ESB
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
VFF
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |