Nykøbing FC vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
7º
5º
59
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 0
BRA
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 2
LFA
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LFA
2 - 1
BFR
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 1
AGF
14%
19%
68%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 1
FA2
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 4
ESB
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
7 - 0
HEL
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 3
ESB
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
VFF
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |