Leyton Orient vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
YEO
3 - 3
LEY
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
LEY
1 - 2
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LEY
1 - 2
OLD
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
LEY
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 2
LEY
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
STO
2 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
STO
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
STO
2 - 0
WIG
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |