EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Leyton Orient vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
64%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CAM
1 - 0
LEY
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
LEY
1 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
LEY
2 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1998 |
GUL
1 - 1
LEY
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
LEY
0 - 3
SCA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CHL
2 - 1
NTT
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
NTT
0 - 2
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 2
NTT
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
NTT
1 - 0
COV
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1998 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |