Leyton Orient vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
LEY
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAG
0 - 1
LEY
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TOT
1 - 2
LEY
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
LEY
10%
19%
70%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
NEW
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
NEW
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 0
NEW
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |