Leyton Orient vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LEY
0 - 1
STO
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
EXE
2 - 6
LEY
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LEY
2 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
LEY
0 - 1
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
POS
0 - 0
LEY
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARS
5 - 1
MAC
35%
24%
42%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 1
BRU
85%
10%
5%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 2
MAC
39%
23%
39%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IPS
0 - 6
MAC
9%
16%
74%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |