EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Leyton Orient vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LEY
0 - 2
GUL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
GRI
4 - 1
LEY
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEY
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
LEY
1 - 2
STF
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEY
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CRY
3 - 0
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
GRI
4 - 1
LEY
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
POR
3 - 1
GRI
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
SWI
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |