Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEY
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LEY
1 - 2
POS
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 0
LEY
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
LEY
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LEY
4 - 1
CRE
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRA
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 2
SCU
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |