Leyton Orient vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
LEY
2 - 4
CAM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LEY
2 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
LEY
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
LEY
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
CUM
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
TOW
52%
23%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
POR
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
CUM
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |