Leyton Orient vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
LEY
2 - 1
DAR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
EXE
1 - 0
LEY
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
LEY
1 - 2
OXF
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LEY
1 - 1
LIN
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
LEY
3 - 2
QPR
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2002 |
BIR
3 - 0
ASV
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 2
BIR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BIR
2 - 1
LEE
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |