Lexington vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
9º
29
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 0
OMA
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 1
LSC
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LSC
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 5
TOR
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FMA
3 - 2
LSC
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OMA
4 - 1
RIC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 0
CRW
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 2
OKS
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |