Lexington vs Fuego FC analysis

Lexington Fuego FC
27 ELO 44
2.5% Tilt 0.5%
4506º General ELO ranking 46457º
59º Country ELO ranking 787º
ELO win probability
14.7%
Lexington
21.3%
Draw
64.1%
Fuego FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
Lexington
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.1%
Win probability
Fuego FC
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lexington
+44%
-34%
Fuego FC

Points and table prediction

Lexington
Their league position
Fuego FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
23
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Omaha
65
65
100%
North Carolina
63
63
100%
Northern Colorado
62
62
100%
Charlotte Independence
49
49
100%
Greenville Triumph
48
48
100%
Forward Madison
43
43
100%
Tormenta
42
42
100%
One Knoxville
38
38
100%
Lexington
32
32
100%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Richmond Kickers
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Fuego FC
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lexington
Fuego FC
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Lexington
Fuego FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lexington
Lexington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
NCO
Northern Colorado
3 - 4
Lexington
LSC
85%
11%
4%
22 58 36 0
03 Aug. 2023
OMA
Union Omaha
2 - 0
Lexington
LSC
85%
11%
4%
22 57 35 0
30 Jul. 2023
LSC
Lexington
2 - 2
Richmond Kickers
RIC
10%
19%
71%
21 54 33 +1
23 Jul. 2023
LSC
Lexington
3 - 0
Union Omaha
OMA
10%
19%
71%
19 56 37 +2
16 Jul. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
2 - 1
Lexington
LSC
86%
10%
4%
19 45 26 0

Matches

Fuego FC
Fuego FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2023
TOR
Tormenta
2 - 1
Fuego FC
CVF
61%
21%
17%
46 53 7 0
06 Aug. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
1 - 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
40%
25%
35%
46 48 2 0
30 Jul. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
0 - 1
One Knoxville
OKS
46%
25%
29%
46 47 1 0
23 Jul. 2023
CHA
Charlotte Independence
1 - 2
Fuego FC
CVF
65%
20%
15%
45 54 9 +1
16 Jul. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
2 - 1
Lexington
LSC
86%
10%
4%
45 19 26 0