Lexington vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
9º
31
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
CHA
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 2
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
LSC
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 1
GTR
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 0
RIC
13%
20%
67%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
2 - 3
OMA
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CRW
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CRW
4 - 4
TOR
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
GTR
2 - 1
CRW
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |