Lexington vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
76.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
9º
49
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
LSC
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 2
GTR
7%
17%
77%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 1
TOR
7%
18%
76%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
4%
11%
85%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | +5 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
LSC
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 60 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
GTR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CVF
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
OMA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |