Lexington vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
9º
63
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
LSC
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 5
CRW
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
CHA
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 2
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
LSC
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
0 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 3
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GTR
0 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |