Lewes vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LEW
1 - 2
KET
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 0
LEW
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EBB
2 - 1
LEW
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEW
1 - 0
WEY
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LEW
2 - 0
ALT
30%
27%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
WEY
1 - 2
YOR
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
YOR
2 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 0
EAS
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
YOR
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |