Lewes vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
LEW
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEW
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LEW
3 - 2
EAS
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 1
LEW
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 0
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 0
ENF
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
KIN
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MER
0 - 2
WOR
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
6 - 0
WIN
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
WOR
18%
22%
61%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |