Lewes vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
LEW
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 1
KIN
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
1 - 1
LEW
30%
24%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 2
ENF
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
1 - 1
FAR
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
POT
1 - 1
WOR
30%
23%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAV
1 - 3
WOR
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |