Lewes vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BIL
1 - 1
LEW
76%
15%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEW
2 - 2
HEN
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
LEW
60%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
5 - 2
LEW
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VCD
1 - 1
BOG
11%
20%
68%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ENF
3 - 0
VCD
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
HAM
4 - 0
VCD
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VCD
2 - 3
HEN
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
VCD
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |