Lewes vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
LEW
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 2
LEW
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 2
BAT
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LEW
5 - 0
DOR
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 0
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
STA
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
THU
3 - 6
BRO
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
THU
0 - 2
HAM
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
THU
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |