Lewes vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 2
BUR
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
LEW
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 0
LEW
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 1
TON
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEW
2 - 3
BIL
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 2
TON
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
2 - 0
LEA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
LEA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
3 - 2
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ENF
4 - 0
LEA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |