Lewes vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
LEW
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
4 - 1
LEW
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 1
LEW
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 0
HAM
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
LEW
68%
20%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 1
DOR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 2
KIN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
KIN
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
ENF
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 5
KIN
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |