Lewes vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
LEW
60%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
5 - 2
LEW
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ENF
2 - 1
LEW
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LEW
3 - 1
DUL
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +5 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
LEW
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
STA
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VCD
2 - 3
HEN
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
1 - 1
HAM
20%
23%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MET
3 - 0
HEN
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |