Lewes vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 5
LEW
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
POT
1 - 0
LEW
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAT
3 - 0
LEW
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LEW
3 - 4
WOR
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
LEW
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 4
FOL
46%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
DOR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KIN
4 - 1
FOL
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
HOR
4 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 3
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |